Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 3.968505 4.728071 5.573640 6.581832 7.748133 9.051763 10.615934
2025-09-14 2.705556 3.629293 4.765576 6.254521 8.141133 10.437836 13.429445
2025-09-21 2.051238 3.038171 4.356258 6.219967 8.757162 12.056371 16.629916
2025-09-28 1.614807 2.608778 4.034256 6.184517 9.292650 13.559197 19.779537
2025-10-05 1.412606 2.456625 4.046108 6.575444 10.414386 15.918431 24.270661
2025-10-12 1.213786 2.262231 3.949783 6.770325 11.244930 17.915437 28.403781
2025-10-19 1.073549 2.131714 3.923005 7.051497 12.212870 20.174543 33.085293
2025-10-26 0.913485 1.932884 3.747279 7.056048 12.726717 21.766598 36.864445
2025-11-02 0.747668 1.688713 3.451338 6.808515 12.784438 22.625182 39.541845
2025-11-09 0.615047 1.481033 3.185555 6.570599 12.817367 23.423750 42.155814
2025-11-16 0.533978 1.362611 3.067905 6.582589 13.277744 24.953214 46.062196
2025-11-23 0.465724 1.257739 2.959556 6.594285 13.730312 26.492486 50.079174
2025-11-30 0.397728 1.140959 2.812429 6.517881 14.024072 27.801375 53.843669
2025-12-07 0.323009 0.990452 2.568162 6.209629 13.837899 28.231388 56.093461
2025-12-14 0.279360 0.908845 2.463527 6.180104 14.194586 29.679130 60.267162
2025-12-21 0.241966 0.834870 2.363819 6.146278 14.534746 31.114982 64.508674
2025-12-28 0.231783 0.836360 2.447096 6.535520 15.793686 34.403727 72.424774
2026-01-04 0.212642 0.806527 2.446881 6.729492 16.650638 36.961271 79.102446
2026-01-11 0.199122 0.791042 2.481226 7.009208 17.718138 40.007181 86.901382
2026-01-18 0.175986 0.738242 2.407185 7.013747 18.170997 41.836937 92.424262
2026-01-25 0.147233 0.657841 2.242475 6.767534 18.026271 42.420929 95.499700
2026-02-01 0.123175 0.586568 2.090157 6.530890 17.876140 42.974875 98.537055
2026-02-08 0.109406 0.549997 2.034220 6.542816 18.317031 44.815404 104.314079